Improving assessment and modelling of climate change impacts on global 
terrestrial biodiversity

Mcmahon, S. M.; Harrison, S. P.; Armbruster, W. S.; Bartlein, P. J.; Beale, C. M.; Edwards, M. E.; Kattge, J.; Midgley, G.; Morin, X.; Prentice, I. C.

doi:10.1016/j.tree.2011.02.012

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Improving assessment and modelling of climate change impacts on global terrestrial biodiversity

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Kattge, J.
TRY: Global Initiative on Plant Traits, Dr. J. Kattge, Department Biogeochemical Processes, Prof. S. E. Trumbore, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Max Planck Society;

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Citation

Mcmahon, S. M., Harrison, S. P., Armbruster, W. S., Bartlein, P. J., Beale, C. M., Edwards, M. E., et al. (2011). Improving assessment and modelling of climate change impacts on global terrestrial biodiversity. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 26(5), 249-259. doi:10.1016/j.tree.2011.02.012.

Cite as: https://hdl.handle.net/11858/00-001M-0000-000E-DC25-E

Abstract

Understanding how species and ecosystems respond to climate change has become a major focus of ecology and conservation biology. Modelling approaches provide important tools for making future projections, but current models of the climate-biosphere interface remain overly simplistic, undermining the credibility of projections. We identify five ways in which substantial advances could be made in the next few years: (i) improving the accessibility and efficiency of biodiversity monitoring data, Oil quantifying the main determinants of the sensitivity of species to climate change, (Hi) incorporating community dynamics into projections of biodiversity responses, (iv) accounting for the influence of evolutionary processes on the response of species to climate change, and (v) improving the biophysical rule sets that define functional groupings of species in global models.