ausblenden:
Schlagwörter:
PRECIPITATION (Meteorology)
ATMOSPHERIC models
CLIMATIC changes
SCALING laws (Statistical physics)
CLIMATIC extremes
HYDROMETEOROLOGY
CLIMATE
MODEL
RESOLUTION
EVENTS
Zusammenfassung:
Precipitation maxima in global climate model (GCM) simulations are compared with observations in terms of resolution dependence and climate change. The analysis shows the following results: (i) the observed scaling law relating precipitation maxima to duration is basically reproduced but exhibits resolution dependence, (ii) the intensity of precipitation extremes is up to one order of magnitude smaller in the model data, and (iii) the increase of precipitation maxima on short time scales in the warmer climate simulations [representative concentration pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5)] vanishes for monthly time scales.
