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  Beyond distance-invariant survival in inverse recruitment modeling: A case study in Siberian Pinus sylvestris forests

Tautenhahn, S., Heilmeier, H., Jung, M., Kahl, A., Kattge, J., Moffat, A. M., et al. (2012). Beyond distance-invariant survival in inverse recruitment modeling: A case study in Siberian Pinus sylvestris forests. Ecological Modelling, 233, 90-103. doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2012.03.009.

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Tautenhahn, S.1, Autor           
Heilmeier, H., Autor
Jung, Martin2, Autor           
Kahl, A., Autor
Kattge, Jens3, Autor           
Moffat, Antje M.2, Autor           
Wirth, C., Autor
Affiliations:
1Research Group Organismic Biogeochemistry, Dr. C. Wirth, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Max Planck Society, ou_1497764              
2Research Group Biogeochemical Model-data Integration, Dr. M. Reichstein, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Max Planck Society, ou_1497760              
3TRY: Global Initiative on Plant Traits, Dr. J. Kattge, Department Biogeochemical Processes, Prof. S. E. Trumbore, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Max Planck Society, ou_1497778              

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Schlagwörter: Seed dispersal kernel Survival Establishment Realized recruitment kernel Janzen-Connell recruitment pattern Boreal forest Root competition index seed dispersal spatial-distribution density-dependence tropical forests tree recruitment janzen-connell scots pine fire regeneration competition
 Zusammenfassung: Recruitment represents the net effect of seed dispersal and survival (germination and establishment) processes. Both are known to be a function of distance from the seed trees. Seed densities usually decline with distance from the seed trees and the survival function can have different shapes. It may e.g. increase with distance (Janzen-Connell type effects) or decrease in the case of facilitation. In recruitment modeling the dispersal kernel is often directly fitted to the number of saplings instead of to the number of seeds, by indirectly assuming a distance-invariant survival function. This assumption may be violated in many cases as the survival function may attain different shapes. The interaction of distance-dependent seed deposition and survival becomes more complex in the case of several seed trees, since processes shaping the survival function may act on seeds from different seed trees. We develop a recruitment model disentangling (1) seed dispersal as derived by a summed seed shadow model and (2) survival as a function of distance of several nearby seed trees. Using Bayesian model inversion we parameterize our model for post fire Pinus sylvestris regeneration, which is known to suffer from strong root competition in the vicinity of seed trees. We show that accounting for distance-dependent survival substantially improves the model performance for three tested seed dispersal kernels. We show that ignoring distance-dependency of survival leads to ecologically unrealistic parameter estimates, questionable seed dispersal properties and biased sapling density predictions at the landscape level. Disentangling seed dispersal and survival processes is essential for modeling recruitment patterns in the case of distance-dependent survival. Our model helps to learn about the connection between seed and sapling patterns particularly when several seed trees are present. Our modeling approach derives separate seed dispersal kernels, survival functions, and the resulting recruitment-patterns, also when only sapling counts are available. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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Sprache(n): eng - English
 Datum: 2012
 Publikationsstatus: Erschienen
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 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2012.03.009
ISI: ://WOS:000303974400011
Anderer: BGC1660
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Titel: Ecological Modelling
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift
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Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: Amsterdam : Elsevier
Seiten: - Band / Heft: 233 Artikelnummer: - Start- / Endseite: 90 - 103 Identifikator: CoNE: https://pure.mpg.de/cone/journals/resource/954925511442
ISSN: 0304-3800