hide
Free keywords:
Astrophysics, Cosmology and Extragalactic Astrophysics, astro-ph.CO,General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology, gr-qc
Abstract:
In the last few years before merger, supermassive black hole binaries will
rapidly inspiral and precess in a magnetic field imposed by a surrounding
circumbinary disk. Multiple simulations suggest this relative motion will
convert some of the local energy to a Poynting-dominated outflow, with a
luminosity 10^{43} erg/s * (B/10^4 G)^2(M/10^8 Msun)^2 (v/0.4 c)^2, some of
which may emerge as synchrotron emission at frequencies near 1 GHz where
current and planned wide-field radio surveys will operate. On top of a secular
increase in power on the gravitational wave inspiral timescale, orbital motion
will produce significant, detectable modulations, both on orbital periods and
(if black hole spins are not aligned with the binary's total angular momenta)
spin-orbit precession timescales. Because the gravitational wave merger time
increases rapidly with separation, we find vast numbers of these transients are
ubiquitously predicted, unless explicitly ruled out (by low efficiency
$\epsilon$) or obscured (by accretion geometry f_{geo}). If the fraction of
Poynting flux converted to radio emission times the fraction of lines of sight
accessible $f_{geo}$ is sufficiently large (f_{geo} \epsilon > 2\times 10^{-4}
for a 1 year orbital period), at least one event is accessible to future blind
surveys at a nominal 10^4 {deg}^2 with 0.5 mJy sensitivity. Our procedure
generalizes to other flux-limited surveys designed to investigate EM signatures
associated with many modulations produced by merging SMBH binaries.
