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  Sea-ice dynamics strongly promote Snowball Earth initiation and destabilize tropical sea-ice margins

Voigt, A., & Abbott, D. S. (2012). Sea-ice dynamics strongly promote Snowball Earth initiation and destabilize tropical sea-ice margins. Climate of the Past, 8, 2079-2092. doi: 10.5194/cp-8-2079-2012.

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 Urheber:
Voigt, Aiko1, Autor           
Abbott , Dorian S., Autor
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1Climate Dynamics, The Atmosphere in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_913568              

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 Zusammenfassung: The Snowball Earth bifurcation, or runaway ice-albedo feedback, is defined for particular boundary conditions by a critical CO2 and a critical sea-ice cover (SI), both of which are essential for evaluating hypotheses related to Neoproterozoic glaciations. Previous work has shown that the Snowball Earth bifurcation, denoted as (CO2, SI)*, differs greatly among climate models. Here, we study the effect of bare sea-ice albedo, sea-ice dynamics and ocean heat transport on (CO2, SI)* in the atmosphere-ocean general circulation model ECHAM5/MPI-OM with Marinoan (similar to 635 Ma) continents and solar insolation (94% of modern). In its standard setup, ECHAM5/MPI-OM initiates a Snowball Earth much more easily than other climate models at (CO2, SI)* approximate to (500 ppm, 55 %). Replacing the model's standard bare sea-ice albedo of 0.75 by a much lower value of 0.45, we find (CO2, SI)* approximate to (204 ppm, 70 %). This is consistent with previous work and results from net evaporation and local melting near the sea-ice margin. When we additionally disable sea-ice dynamics, we find that the Snowball Earth bifurcation can be pushed even closer to the equator and occurs at a hundred times lower CO2: (CO2, SI)* approximate to (2 ppm, 85 %). Therefore, the simulation of sea-ice dynamics in ECHAM5/MPI-OM is a dominant determinant of its high critical CO2 for Snowball initiation relative to other models. Ocean heat transport has no effect on the critical sea-ice cover and only slightly decreases the critical CO2. For disabled sea-ice dynamics, the state with 85% sea-ice cover is stabilized by the Jormungand mechanism and shares characteristics with the Jormungand climate states. However, there is no indication of the Jormungand bifurcation and hysteresis in ECHAM5/MPI-OM. The state with 85% sea-ice cover therefore is a soft Snowball state rather than a true Jor mungand state. Overall, our results demonstrate that differences in sea-ice dynamics schemes can be at least as important as differences in sea-ice albedo for causing the spread in climate models' estimates of the Snowball Earth bifurcation. A detailed understanding of Snowball Earth initiation therefore requires future research on sea-ice dynamics to determine which model's simulation is most realistic.

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Sprache(n): eng - English
 Datum: 201220122012-122012-12
 Publikationsstatus: Erschienen
 Seiten: -
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: -
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.5194/cp-8-2079-2012
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Titel: Climate of the Past
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift
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Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: Katlenberg-Lindau, Germany : Published by Copernicus on behalf of the European Geosciences Union
Seiten: - Band / Heft: 8 Artikelnummer: - Start- / Endseite: 2079 - 2092 Identifikator: ISSN: 1814-9324
CoNE: https://pure.mpg.de/cone/journals/resource/1000000000033790